The Buckles Report: Colts vs. Saints Preview

Keys to the game:
TURNOVER DIFFERENTIAL:
The New Orleans Saints defense has struggled to force turnovers all season forcing a mere four through six games, which doesn’t bode well for a team who is 17th in total defense and is giving up 25 points per game. In 2009 the Saints defense were able to force turnovers at will, finishing second in the league, while in 2010 they didn’t force near as many but were able to finish fourth in total defense. This season the team has been abysmal in both categories and has struggled to find that happy medium between forcing timely turnovers and not giving up excessive yardage. To make matters worse the offense has turned the ball over eleven times already, eight of them coming off of Drew Brees-interceptions. After starting the season with six touchdowns to zero interceptions through two games, Brees has uncharacteristically thrown for seven touchdowns and eight interceptions in the last four games. The Saints are extremely fortunate that their record is 4-2 at this point considering the lack of turnovers forced, and the turnovers by the offense. I have no doubt that there will be a significant emphasis on the defense pressuring the quarterback and taking the ball away on versus a Colts offense that will be without Peyton Manning and Joseph Addai.
GET SPROLES MORE CARRIES:
Darren Sproles has carried the ball only 27 times this year but for 201 yards, averaging a staggering 7.4 yards a carry. Last week in Tampa he was given only one carry and he went for 16 yards. He is arguable more effective and explosive as a runner between the tackles rather than being spread out as the slot receiver, which Sean Payton loves to frequently line him up as. With the Indianapolis Colts ranking 30th in total run defense, this would be a perfect opportunity for Sproles to have a nice bounce back game in the dome where he’s already scored twice this year. 
GET MORE PRESSURE UP FRONT:
After sacking the quarterback nine times in the first two games of the season, the Saints defense has only gotten five sacks in the four games since. Six of their fourteen sacks came against the weak offensive line for the Bears, and only half of their sacks have come from defensive lineman. The Saints rely way too heavily on the blitz to create pressure, which puts a huge burden on the cornerbacks. Will Smith, Cam Jordan, Sed Ellis, and Shaun Rogers must do a better job of dominating the line of scrimmage, generating better pass rush, along with stopping the run. With Gregg Williams sending the blitz on 71 percent of the opposing teams passing downs, there is absolutely no reason why the Saints shouldn’t be getting more sacks and producing more turnovers. However, they could have better success Sunday versus Colts quarterback Curtis Painter who has struggled mightily when being blitzed. But it all starts up front, and that where the defense needs to get it done.
Key Matchup:
SAINTS OFFENSIVE TACKLES VS DWIGHT FREENEY/ROBERT MATHIS:
Jermon Bushrod and Charles Brown will have their hands full this week with Freeney and Mathis chomping at the bit to get at Brees, maybe seeking a little revenge from Super Bowl XLIV. In that Super Bowl, Bushrod did a decent job blocking Freeney (despite Freeney playing on virtually one leg the entire game), but he is 100 percent healthy and has gotten off to a great start this season with 4.5 sacks in six games. Robert Mathis has gotten of to a decent start too with 3.5 sacks. The Colts’ dynamic duo of pass rushers feed off of each other regularly so the Saints offensive line need to be on their “P’s and Q’s” all night. This will be a pivotal matchup so look for the Saints to definitely look to help Bushrod and Brown out by having max protection on critical passing downs, and helping neutralize their pass rush by running screens and running the ball in between the tackles.
Player to Watch for:

MARK INGRAM
Sean Payton has repeatedly said that he feels that he needs to get the rookie running back more carries, and with him only having nine last week in Tampa, I fully expect him to see more action from him versus the Colts. Ingram has rushed for a touchdown in three of the last four games, finding an early nitch for getting in the endzone. With the dome rocking, going up against the 30th ranked run defense in the league, I expect Ingram to have his biggest game as a New Orleans Saint.
Prediction:
The Indianapolis Colts have been very competitive in recent games and have been itching for a victory to finally put in the win column. However, I expect the Saints to come out firing on all cylinders on both sides of the ball. So in their first home game in a month, I predict the Saints pummel the Colts, 38-17, improving to 5-2.




93%

Down nine early in the 4th quarter, All-Pro QB Drew Brees showed no signs of panic, but a fiery confidence to lead his offense to a franchise-record 23 4th quarter points. And also I believe the turning point of the game when Brees got into the face of second year cornerback, Kareem Jackson of the Texans after being speared by him after scrambling. Boy oh boy did the Texans defense pay the price after that.
